Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 162.791974 186.734167 213.586035 246.045985 284.372153 328.365414 382.946447
2025-10-26 131.120672 162.336995 200.612486 251.442113 317.838438 402.544375 520.272948
2025-11-02 111.326748 145.452243 190.041360 253.458250 342.786993 466.344343 654.128834
2025-11-09 98.112264 133.784639 182.830089 256.594794 367.211783 531.048647 800.096718
2025-11-16 87.557102 123.714289 175.594107 257.419610 386.938159 590.645180 949.194808
2025-11-23 78.791315 114.786647 168.377894 256.497131 402.833939 645.793974 1101.544729
2025-11-30 72.935051 109.311172 165.367222 261.230441 427.886990 719.460979 1301.779180
2025-12-07 65.221376 100.007775 155.129178 252.467887 428.213525 749.457702 1426.125818
2025-12-14 59.818167 93.756629 149.000393 249.650319 438.257746 798.354202 1598.713236
2025-12-21 56.135358 89.899306 146.336061 252.403731 458.723589 870.445380 1837.631227
2025-12-28 54.159334 88.669246 147.948881 263.010589 495.757819 982.517621 2196.236384
2026-01-04 52.283536 87.394146 149.282308 273.158878 533.362060 1102.994334 2609.763639
2026-01-11 48.335779 82.375801 143.845398 270.511145 546.310388 1177.304434 2945.832504
2026-01-18 45.904886 79.899793 142.931939 277.043547 580.972832 1311.730952 3500.222270
2026-01-25 43.227178 76.678952 140.202223 279.357596 606.534124 1430.412971 4057.649830
2026-02-01 40.958346 73.993300 138.190182 282.876004 635.595076 1565.639933 4726.092726
2026-02-08 38.653553 71.005043 135.219981 283.800407 658.453836 1690.193485 5416.711947
2026-02-15 36.390389 67.882509 131.626885 282.767461 676.137274 1804.955611 6128.781927
2026-02-22 34.890078 66.155364 130.775666 288.068741 711.737997 1983.589838 7184.591163
2026-03-01 32.277100 61.911987 124.076788 278.256160 703.914676 2024.306237 7690.703129
2026-03-08 30.421776 59.100087 120.250415 275.102271 714.569706 2129.097968 8543.591774
2026-03-15 29.182125 57.488236 118.941090 278.184338 744.226231 2308.021645 9861.142341
2026-03-22 28.634933 57.317734 120.888452 290.062952 803.235578 2611.762073 12034.348715